• Home
  • »
  • Focus
  • Home
  • Executive Jobs
  • Features
    • Focus
    • Career Couch
    • Radar
    • Water Cooler
    • Insight
    • Podcasts
  • Place an executive ad

Is it time for a pay rise?

By | theage.com.au | 18 August
Email to a friend
Print
Increased Text
Decreased Text

Australian wages growth unexpectedly accelerated in the second quarter at the fastest pace in 11 years, underlining the central bank's concern that rising salaries may stoke inflation

Hourly pay rates excluding bonuses climbed 1.2% from the previous quarter, when they rose 0.9%, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said today.

The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 24 economists was for a 1% gain.

In New South Wales, wages were up 0.9% for the quarter and 3.9% for the year; in Victoria they were up 1.0% for the quarter and 4.1% for the year; Queensland was up 0.7% for the quarter and  3.9% for the year; South Australia was up 0.6% for the quarter and 4.6% for the year; in Western Australia it was 1.4% the quarter and 5.6% for the year; Tasmania was up 0.8% for the quarter and 3.7% for the year; and in the Northern Territory the figure was up 1.7% for the quarter and 4.3% for the year. The ACT was up 0.6% for the quarter and 3.9% for the year.

The Reserve Bank of Australia left the benchmark lending rate at a 12-year-high of 7.25% last week and signalled it may cut the rate for the first time in almost seven years as slowing economic growth cools inflation.

Chinese demand for Australian commodities has stoked a mining boom that has pushed unemployment close to its lowest in more than three decades.

"The door still appears open for a quarter-point rate cut by the Reserve Bank in early September,'' said Stephen Walters, an economist with JPMorgan in Sydney.

"An even larger spike in wages could have raised concerns about cost-push inflation.''

The Australian dollar slid to 86.09 US cents from 86.74 US cents before the report was released. The two-year government bond yield gained 4 basis points, or 0.04 of a percentage point, to 5.84%.

Consumer confidence

The increase in the wage price index was the largest since the series began in 1997, according to the ABS.

A separate report showed today that consumer confidence rose in August from a 16-year low.

Hourly rates of pay at mining companies rose 6.7% from a year earlier, the biggest annual increase among the 16 sectors surveyed by the ABS.

Concern that a drop in unemployment to 3.9% in February, the lowest since 1974, would stoke wages and inflation was a key reason the RBA raised the overnight cash rate target to 7.25% in March. It also increased the benchmark in February, November and last August.

Consumer prices rose 4.5% in the second quarter from a year earlier. The central bank says inflation will peak at 5% in the final three months of 2008 before falling below 3% in mid 2010. Policy makers aim to keep annual price increases between 2% and 3% on average.

Economy slowing

The wage price index advanced 4.2% from a year earlier in the June quarter, faster than the first quarter's 4.1% gain, today's report showed.

Wages may slow in coming quarters amid evidence Australia's $1 trillion economy is moderating as consumers slash spending in the face of higher borrowing costs and petrol prices.

"The rate of growth in aggregate wages has remained fairly stable, despite the increase'' in inflation "and generally tight labour-market conditions,'' the central bank said this week.

Economic growth will slow to 2% this year from 4.3% in 2007, the bank said this week.

Wages may cool as companies cut staff. Qantas said last month it will sack 1500 staff, and meat processing company Don Smallgoods will cut 640 jobs.

Business confidence in July held at the lowest level in seven years and job-vacancy advertisements fell for a third month, adding to signs employers will pare hiring as economic growth slows.

The jobless rate has risen to 4.3% in July from 3.9% in February.

"Demand pressures in the economy now appear to be easing,'' the central bank said this week.

Bloomberg

First published by TheAge.com.au on August 18 2008
Visit theage.com.au for the latest news updated throughout the day

More Focus news

  • Workplace agreements: Increased penalties loom for employers
  • Treasury hints at taxation changes
  • New battery-powered credit supercard
  • Companies set to axe jobs
  • More focus
  • Home

Focus news

  • Workplace agreements: Increased penalties loom for employers
  • Treasury hints at taxation changes
  • New battery-powered credit supercard
  • Companies set to axe jobs
  • More focus

Executive jobs

  • Group Executive, Business Development Sydney Metro, NSWUNSW Global Pty Limited is the international education, training and consulting company of the University of New South Wales (UNSW). With a... view job1/12/2008
  • Group Executive UNSWIL Sydney Metro, NSWThe UNSW Institute of Languages (UNSWIL) is one of six business groups of UNSW Global Pty Limited, a wholly-owned, not for profit subsidiary of... view job1/12/2008
  • Group Executive UNSW Sydney Metro, NSWEducational Assessment Australia (EAA) is a leading education assessment organisation that has been involved in educational measurement and... view job1/12/2008
  • Senior Electrical Design Engineer North Sydney, NSW 2060Offering its services across design, construction, engineering, operations and maintenance, this multi-disciplined infrastructure specialist has... view job1/12/2008
  • OH&S Coordinator Ingleburn, NSW 2565This leading organisation is at the forefront of its industry and has outstanding recognition and growth year on year. Reporting to the Human... view job1/12/2008

Career Couch news

  • The real business of parties
  • Say no to blind acceptance
  • When office romance goes bad
  • It's curtains for bullies
  • More career couch

Podcasts

VV Show #49 - Rafat Ali of paidContent and contentNext
Download the MP3. Attention entrepreneurs dealing with the current economic downturn: This interview is for you. After working as a journalist for Jason Calacanis at Silicon Alley Reporter, Rafat Ali ended up broke in a market with a dearth of employment opportunities. To try to find a new job, Rafat created paidContent.org as an "interactive resume." Luckily, no one hired him. From these humble beginnings, Rafat bootstrapped his blog holding company, ContentNext Media, for four years before taking a small investment from famed media investor Alan Patricof in June 2006. From its inception paidContent has doubled revenues each year and was recently acquired by UK-based Guardian Media Group for a rumored $30 million. Listen in as Rafat outlines the past, present, and future of online media, while sharing his war stories from another uncertain economic time.

Harvard Business IdeaCast 122: Reinventing Your Business Model
Featured Guest: Clay Christensen, coauthor of the Harvard Business Review article "Reinventing Your Business Model." Copyright 2008 Harvard Business School Publishing

Market Report Friday July 25 - PM
A bloody end to the week - the biggest one-day fall in six months - as the market seems to over-react to NAB's announcement of extra provisioning.

More Podcasts
Home | Executive Jobs | Focus | Career Couch | Radar | Water Cooler | Insight | Podcasts | Sitemap | Contact us | About us | Place an Executive Ad
Fairfax Digital
NEWS | MYCAREER | DOMAIN | DRIVE | FINANCE | MOBILE | RSVP | TRAVEL | WEATHER
  member centre | login  
Fairfax Digital
  member centre | network map | mobile | advertise with us | place a classified ad  
SMH | THE AGE | BRISBANE TIMES | AFR | MYCAREER | DOMAIN | DRIVE | RSVP | FINANCE | FAIRFAX NZ